Three best NBA players, opportunities for Sunday, May 11th: Use Pascal Siakam in NBA Playoff -Picks

The NBA playoffs 2025 will continue on Sunday with two matchups in game 4 in the conference semi -final. In the east, the Pacers have a 2-1 lead over the cavaliers, while the Nuggets have a 2-1 advantage compared to the thunder in the west. Superstars such as Tyrese Haliburton, Donovan Mitchell, Nikola Jokic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander were able to take significant measures for NBA player props. However, you can often find the best value for role players who may be in line for extended minutes due to a matchup or an injury.

The striker of Pacers, Aaron Nesmith, only scored an average of 12.0 points per game during the regular season, but he has an average of 15.1 points per game during the off -season and 15.7 during the Cleveland series. In the latest NBA props from Fanduel SportsBook, however, his over/under total is listed at 12.5, and they can almost even receive money (-102) via the over. The Cavaliers Point Guard Darius Garland (TOE) returned to the starting line -up against the Pacers on Friday and ended with 10 points, three templates and a rebound. The total points of Garland on Sunday are 10.5 and its over/under -tached things 5.5.

The sportsline projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $ 10,000 in the last six seasons for $ 100 for $ 100 for top NBA picks. One of the data scientists behind the model, Stephen Oh (@stephenohcbs), analyzed the SIM results and broke the supporting evidence to announce which player props are worth for today's slate. The NBA chances could change, so act for a maximum value now.

Michael Porter Jr. over 11.5 points (-125)

Most of the most important online sports books have these NBA players with 12.5 with payouts between -102 and -115 on the over, but the model drives to hard rock and pays a small additional juice to buy them via/under 11.5. Porter scored an average of 18.2 points per game during the regular season, and although this number has dropped to 10.7 in the 2025 NBA playoffs, he has a 21-point excursion in game 3 against thunder.

“This line is simply too low, but with a projection of 15.6 points and a season average of 17.3 points with a projection of 15.6 points and a average of 17.3,” said Stephen Oh, analyst of Sports Data Analyst. “If it were healthy, the line 15.5 or more in view of its house would be 17.9 points (compared to 16.7 on the street) and 12+ trend of 36-6, 85.7% at home (34-11 on the street).” You can also get 11.5 at BetMGM if you are not in a state where hard rock is live, but you pay a little more juice (-135).

Pascal Siakam over 17.5 points (-120)

In its last six seasons, the three-time NBA All-Star has scored an average of at least 20 points per game and scored an average of 20.2 points per game in Indiana in its first full season. In this post -season, Siakam scored an average of 18.3 points per game, but he was still incredibly efficient. It shoots 54.1% from the ground and 40.7% from the 3-point line, and after a loss of blowout in game 3, it could be stimulated, in which he scored 18 points in 8-against-14 shooting in just 28 minutes.

“The model projects it for 20 points in this Buy Low Spot because he has not scored 20 points in his last five games,” said Oh. “His backups either did not turn well (OBI Toppin 1 for 7 in game 3, only 2-9 from the 3pt range in the series) or did not play (Jarace Walker only 16 minutes in the series), so Siakam should be a lock for over 35 minutes.” Draftkings offers the best price with several books that stayed with this line.

Andrew Nembhard under 21.5 points + rebounds + assists (-102)

You can get this number from most online sports books at 22.5, but you pay a lot more juice in the lower amount. BetMGM offers -120 while Caesars and Fanduel offer -125 offer. However, the model recommends that you go to Fanduel to buy this line for better payout to 21.5. Nembhard scored an average of 10.0 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.3 assists (18.3 PRA) during the regular season and only managed 10 points, four rebounds and four assists in the game 3 on Friday against Cleveland. In four of his last five games, in which Indiana was an outsider for home, he went to this prop.

Do you want more NBA picks for tonight tonight?

1. You saw the NBA props of the model for some of the most popular props on Sunday. Now get NBA projections for each player prop.
2. You can also display expert betting advice before meeting the NBA picks or player props on Sunday. Now visit sportline to see the picks of expert Bruce Marshall. He is 123-93-1 (+2061) on his last 214 NBA picks and he has already locked up a choice for Sunday.
3. Sportline also has several experts who specialize in player props and team props. Including Mike Barner, who is 160-109 (+3254) in his last 269 NBA player props. Visit Sportline Now to see who includes Barner for Sunday in his NBA picks.