close
close

The NBA playoffs 2025 initiate the era of chaos

NbanbaIn today's NBA, nothing is guaranteed in 20-point leadership to 60-win teams. This is not a parity or a coincidence – it is a little more stubborn.

Getty Images/Ringer Illustration

When the Dallas Mavericks jumped to the first last week with a Teensy-Tiny chance of winning the NBA lottery, they screamed?

When the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Boston Celtics – the two best teams in the East each were expelled from the playoffs throughout the season – are they after air?

What about this shocking Saturday evening in February when Luka Doncic was traded? Did your jaw please? Did your eyes bang? Breaked your fingertips in flames when you fired a mighty “WTF”! To the group chat?

Or did you just sigh and twitch and say and say-to yourself or the next Woozy-Schauer-In a world tired tone: “Well, that's the NBA for you.”

Really, does it anything This even happens in this league to blink? Or have we finally gained a herdish against astonishment? Because in almost every metric, every standard, every historical point of reference we experience an era of absolute, unprecedented chaos in the association.

No 20-point lead is certain. No 60-winning team is safe. A franchise icon can be traded for the final months after the management of his team. The trainer And General Manager of a title candidate can be released With three games in the season. No champion can repeat – or even return to the final.

In the next month, the NBA will be crowned its seventh champion in seven years in seven years, a premiere in the history of the league. We described this as the “era of parity”, but that captures the mere volatility and the Bonkers -Wonder, which we now observe regularly, not quite: the disorders, the shots, the devastating injuries (injuries (injuries (injuries (injuriesOh, the injuries), The trade requirements and team hopping and the insidious wage and salary accounting rules that sabotage all hope of continuity and make dynasties a distant memory.

“The job,” says the former general manager of Suns, Ryan McDonough, “is more difficult than ever before.”

Welcome, dear friends, on the age of the chaos of the NBA. Here is more than just a “parity” here. Records mean nothing. Opportunities mean nothing. Contracts and loyalty and feeling of catching mean nothing. Rules of uncertainty. Whatever ever seemed more likely is now doubtful … and the once less likely is now possible.

Witness of the conference finals this week, in which three teams – Indiana, Oklahoma City and Minnesota – compete to win their first title in Franchise history, the fourth, The New York Knicks, strives for his first in half a century. In the meantime, the last five champions – the Celtics (2024), Denver Nuggets (2023), Golden State Warriors (2022), Milwaukee Bucks (2021) and Los Angeles Lakers (2020) – think all at home and about the nature of existence.

No champion has repeated itself since the Warriors in 2017 and 2018. Since then, no franchise has won two titles that have not been consumed. In fact, no defending champion has made it beyond the second round since. The Nuggets and Celtics were each regarded as a potential dynasty … until they were not. Dominance is illusory or at least temporary.

And the regular season rating means less than ever. The Timberwolves, a 6-seed in the west, are now the seventh Team since 2020 to overthrow the conference final without being a top four seed. From 2000 to 2019 only one team –Yes, one-Maren after landing fourth in the regular season (the fifth Memphis Grizzlies in 2013). The average sowing of a conference finalist from 2000 to 2019? 1.95. The average sowing from 2000 to 2025? 3.45.

The fact is that there is simply more volatility than ever before-from year to year because of the superstar movement and night to night because of the power of the 3-point shot.

Almost every day, it seems that we wrap our heads for a historical anomaly.

Two weeks ago, in game 2 of the Semis of the Eastern Conference, the Pacers deleted a 20-point deficit to beat the Cavaliers, and marked the fourth comeback from at least 20 in this after season-one record in the play-by-play era per Keerthika Uthayakumar, an independent NBA researcher and package author. The next night, the Knicks deleted a 20-point deficit in Boston-for the second game in follow-up to increase the record to five. That is as many 20-point comebacks in two rounds of a post-season as in the league The entire regular 2005-06 season.

And there was also a massive increase in comebacks of the regular season. According to Uthayakumar: From 1996-97 to 2016-17, the league achieved an average of 12 20-point comebacks per season. Since 2017-18 there have been almost 28 per season. Chaos, it seems, is the new normality.

Even Home Court advantage faded. At some point in this post-season, the street teams were 30-30.

In recent years, injuries, especially among the stars, have also rated in almost every post -season and paved the way for upsets in every round. In recent years we have seen how the Bucks without Giannis Antetocounmpo stalls, the 76 suffer without Joel Embiid and the clipper without Kawhi Leonard – and that's just a small rehearsal.

This year Stephen Curry (Kniehne), Damian Lillard (Achilles) and Jayson Tatum (Achilles), whose absences may have changed. A total of five current all-stars missed at least one playoff game this year, according to the data compiled by Yahoo from Tom Haberstroh and continued a long trend. In the last 11 post-seeds, an average of 5.7 all stars per year have missed games and more than doubled and a seven-fold increase since the late 1980s per hair straw.

Fans and experts used to discuss whether Magic Johnson's thigh injury changed the course of the 1989 final against Detroit. Now these types of discussions are a spring rite.

Would the Cavaliers prevailed against the Pacers if Darius Garland had not missed the first two games (both losses) and if Star striker Evan Mobley hadn't missed the second? Would the Celtics have kept a comeback if Tatum hadn't lost in a critical game 4 against the Knicks?

The defeats of Cleveland (64 victories) and Boston (61 victories) marked the second time in the NBA Playoff story that several teams with 60 victories before the conference finale lost according to the basketball reference. Likewise, the triumphs of the Pacers and Knicks in this series were two of the largest playoff-ups since 1988, based on the chances of winning in front of the Pro Lev Akabas series from Sportico.

In a further time, the Cavs and Celtics would dust out and swear to win all of this next year. But the pressure of the salary tax and the dreaded second apron could force both teams to lose important players if not this summer, then soon after. Tax and apron problems have already undermined the championship nuclei of the Warriors, Nuggets and Bucks. The Timberwolves, Star Karl-Anthony Towns, prompted the same forces to exchange the Knicks last autumn, and the clipper to part with Paul George.

The continuity has already been difficult to see in the past 15 years of the so-called “player empowerment era”, with the stars routinely changing the teams via free agency or trade requirements. This summer it could be Giannis who wonders. Kevin Durant will probably change the teams for the third time in six years.

Of course, the franchise companies themselves have a lot of chaos. The Grizzlies, bound by Playoff, fired coach Taylor Jenkins with only nine games in the season-a shocking, unprecedented move, which was soon exceeded by the Nuggets-Noch more shocking decisions for the fire brigade coach Michael Malone and General Manager Calvin Booth with only three games in the season. The suns fired their coach for the third time in a row. The Kings have released their trainer and general manager for almost two decades just two years after the best season of the franchise.

And then there is the commissioner's office. After all, the league decided to flatten the lottery opportunities to dissuade teams from tanking. So we got the Mavericks lottery shock that jumps into the upper place of the design order. It was the league that pushed shorter player contracts in every work company and unintentionally gave the stars more leverage. And it is the league, in particular the Commissioner Adam Silver, who has repeatedly pushed to measures, distributes high spending owners, distribute talents throughout the league and generally promote the competition balance.

So here we are more uncertainty than ever. More parity than ever. More salary billing restrictions than ever before. More variance and volatility than ever. More pressure than ever. And of course less patience than ever. So strap yourself on, breathe in deeply and sit on the dips and twists and shocks that will still come. The age of the chaos of the NBA is here. We can only try to enjoy the journey.

Howard Beck

Howard Beck had his basketball training covered by the Shaq-and-Kobe-Lakers for the La Daily News from 1997 and has been writing and reports on the NBA since then. He also reported the league for the New York Times, Bleacher Report and Sports Illustrated. He is a co-moderator of 'The Reales'.

Leave a Comment