Trump's Breakneck start is subject to a political risk

Within a few hours after his second notice of office, Donald Trump signed a flood of executive orders and explanations and fired the starting weapon on a fast and radical program of change in its first 100 days.

So far, he has not shown any signs that he has taken his foot from the pedal.

The sheer amount of his news in the past few months could be seen as a carefully regarded strategy. It is one that for the first time before 2018, the right podcast moderator, who advised Trump during his first term, was floating for the first time before 2018.

“The Democrats don't care,” Bannon told the writer Michael Lewis at the time. “The real opposition is the media. And the way to deal with them is to flood the zone.”

Seven years later, when Trump is not only flooded in the Oval Office and the zone, but also practically submerged, Bannon believes that the strategy worked?

“Flood of the zone 'is an overwhelming success,” he tells me by text. “The biggest victory is a broken globalist media that frays too much to take into account our attack on the institutions of the oppression of America.”

It is a typical bombastic reaction. However, a large number of opinion polls indicate that the public is less enthusiastic. For example, Trump's general approval assessment in this phase of his presidency has been the lowest of all presidents in the past 80 years.

In his usual way, Trump met “fake polls from fake news organizations”.

But do you propose a sick support that could be a problem for him across the board?

It is of course still early and Trump's basis remains fully and very committed. Nevertheless, the best plans of the most cautious politicians can go wrong. Is there something after 100 days of action that Trump's promised agenda could derail in the coming months?

Here are three potential scenarios.

Trump has spent many years talking about the good that could do tariffs for the American economy – and now he is trying to make it reality.

However, the presidency of their presidency on a policy of global economic disorder is associated with considerable risks.

Trump has already responded to the petrol position of the global markets by announcing tariffs, and he has signaled that he is ready to complete a deal with China by recently made warmer comments than the earlier angry bars that aim at Beijing.

But in July there will be steep tariffs for imports from countries that do not have a trade agreement with the United States.

Can the government agree in 90 days of 90 days of trade agreements in 90 days, as Trump promised? If not, the President can find that his tariff regime and the potential for more market chaos further shake his reputation with the voters.

The voters who supported the president in November appreciate the message of the White House, which he has been using for the United States for decades, and try to give American production a new life.

But there is a tension between this message and what is happening on site – not in diplomatic conversations between managers, but on the main streets and in supermarkets when the Americans live their daily life.

Trump's tariff plans have submitted a share market sale and aroused fears from economic recession. And a survey by CBS News on Monday showed that the voters growing growing that the administration focuses too much on tariffs and is not enough to reduce prices.

This is the key to the success of the Trump administration in the coming months. Ambitions to reset the global trade order are one thing – and a popular among the presidents' supporters – but the costs of this by the average American consumer by increasing taxes to practically all imports to be politically dangerous if the country would enter a recession.

Immigration was always Trump's signature question. He enjoys a higher approval ratings than in any other political area, with surveys supporting its fast measures to deport thousands of migrants without papers.

Since the government pursues this approach to immigration, it may not be the views of the voters that hinder Trump, but the decisions of the nation of the nation. The judges repeatedly tell the White House that his actions may violate the law.

The case of a man, Kilmar Abrego Garcia, has already made it to the Supreme Court. However, the government has admitted that it made a mistake when he shifted it into a notorious prison in El Salvador, but does not seem to be willing to follow a top court to “facilitate” his return to the USA.

So far, the White House has avoided the type of conflict with judges that could cause a full -blown constitutional crisis, even if it is a matter of limiting court decisions that aim to limit some of its most radical politics. But a showdown can happen soon.

The ultimate confrontation would of course come if Trump ignored an order from the Supreme Court.

So far, the administration has been triggered by the deportations before the court of public opinion, and convinced that voters are much more concerned about removing illegal immigrants from the country than the proper procedure.

Mike Madrid, a Republican political consultant, agrees. He told me that many people do not believe that migrants earn legal rights without papers.

“If you frame it between the proper procedure and the members of terrorist systems … the Republicans will be on the side of MS-13 members from the street,” he said.

Nevertheless, public support for Trump's immigration movements could slide. A survey published at the end of the last week showed that his approval rate in this topic had dropped by 10 points in the past few weeks.

Even if the voters are ready to accept the White House, ignore court leave, such a step could be a significant challenge for many Republican congress members who feel squeamish. So far, the Senators and representatives of the party have practically administered the Trump -Freier to do what he wants. But could you be silent if you are confronted with a president who opposed the law?

Elon Musk and his “Department of Government Efficiency” have not wasted a minute of these 100 days, led their chainsaw into large parts of the federal employees and reduced state expenditure, including international help.

As with many of Trump's agenda, there is a tension between the very real voter sympathy for the message – in this case that the government inflated, wasteful and inefficient – compared to the extreme actions that are sometimes taken by the white house to combat this message.

And with Doge, the political risk for the president could come when it begins to reduce state expenditure and programs to which voters rely on easily. This is a real risk because the anger about musk has already burned down.

Many chosen Republicans have stopped being known as town halls after they have been confronted by angry voters who are concerned about the cuts of their pensions or the government funded by the government.

The tensions also run in Trump's cabinet via Musk's interference and peaks in a heated shouting match in the west wing recently between the billionaire consultant and the finance minister Scott Bessent.

The reality is that Musk is much less popular than Trump, and his expensive efforts to influence a special choice in Wisconsin fell completely flat with the voters.

The Tech billionaire will soon have to leave the president's side. He is under pressure from the Tesla shareholders to return to his fighting car company, and as a “special employee”, he stands time restrictions on work within this administration. There is a world in which less frequent appearances in the White House can prove to be in the best interest of Trump.

However, while Muschus is leaving, Dogge is expected to continue until July 2026. This leaves many opportunities for the deeply unpopular expenses, which is undoubtedly a long -term political risk for this white house, especially before the intermediate elections next year.

At the moment Trump's 100-day flash of commands, actions and noise has steamed the opposition and proved on its loyal basis, which says he just does what he promised.

However, these risks are there – and with such an unpredictable and fast -moving administration, the potential for a crisis never really disappears.