A half to Soviet spaceship is about to panic shortly before the crash, but don't panic

An no longer existing space from the Soviet period falls back to earth uncontrollably, but experts say that there is little reason for the alarm.

The semi-tonic craft, known as Kosmos-482, was developed to land on Venus, but instead spent the last 53 years in the reversal of the earth due to a rocket disorder. Now it is expected that the spaceship will fall through the atmosphere in the coming days. The latest forecasts forecast an uncontrolled re -entry on Saturday.

A huge piece of metal that touches back on earth may appear a terrible view, but old satellites that have spent rocket parts or other small parts of space waste, according to the European Space Agency (ESA), come back to earth almost every day and step back into the atmosphere.

In most cases, the spaceship burns harmlessly in the atmosphere, whereby very few – if at all – divide the fiery journey. But even if some pieces withstand the atmospheric re -entry, it is very rare that they fell over land and caused damage, especially because the oceans cover around 71% of the planetary interface.

“The risk of a satellite repetition that causes an injury is extremely remote,” wrote ESA official in a blog post about Kosmos-482. “The annual risk of an individual person injured by space remains is less than 1 out of 100 billion. In comparison, a person is about 65,000 times more often from lightning.”

Esas Space Debris's office predicts that Kosmos-482 falls through the atmosphere on Saturday at 4:26 a.m., with an estimated uncertainty of plus or minus 4.35 hours.

It is difficult to make precise predictions when an uncontrolled spaceship falls back onto the earth, as a large part of it depends on the atmospheric dynamics, space weather and the specific alignment of the object when its orbit downloads – everyone is difficult to model.

If the spaceship approaches re -entry, researchers can refine these predictions, but it is still difficult to know where the spaceship ends up.

NASA said that the landing site could be “between 52 and 52 s wide degree”, a large part that covers Africa, Australia, a large part of North America and South America as well as large parts of Europe and Asia.

The officials of the space force said that their recent predictions show that Kosmos-482 enters the atmosphere over the island of Borneo in Malaysia near the border with Indonesia, while the floor route from Esa is located on the landing site south of Australia, in or around the south of the south.

Kosmos-482 was launched in 1972 by the Soviet Union on the mission on the surface of Venus. It was one of a series of missions to Venus, but this was stranded around the earth after a rocket abuse.

Most debris of the unfortunate mission fell back to Earth decades ago, but it is half the ton, spherical landing capsule, which will eventually return to earth this weekend.

Since the capsule, which was through a foot for the fiery Venus, could, according to Marco Langbroek, a scientist at Delft University of Technology in the Netherlands, survive the re-entry through the earth's atmosphere in the Netherlands and follow the cosmos 482 and online updates.

“It is possible that it will be seen through the intact earth atmosphere through the earth's atmosphere and is intact intact,” wrote Langbroek in a post that was updated on Thursday. “It will probably have a difficult effect: I doubt that the parachute deployment system will continue to work after 53 years and with dead batteries.”

However, this does not mean that someone on land is in direct danger.

“The associated risks are not particularly high, but not zero: with a mass of almost 500 kg and 1-meter size, the risks of that of a meteorite impact are somewhat similar,” he wrote.