Cram 'trending' to challenge Heitkamp

Fargo-Kevin Cramer continues to dance the dance and joke about a seat for a US senate in North Dakota. Whether this is due to the fact that the Republican Congressman really gets into conflict or because he likes to court President Donald Trump.

After all, a safe way to get a foretaste of Trump's Schuhleder is to visit the White House.

But it certainly looks as if Cramer is being challenged by the classification and the reigning Democrat Heidi Heitkamp, ​​which is a good start to the new year for most Republicans in North Dakota and a less positive development for Heitkamp.

Cramer met on Tuesday, January 2, in the White House with Trump and told Washington, DC from Gray Television: “It was certainly a convincing case that the president made.”

We say that “most” North Dakota Goper Cramer would welcome the Senate race because we know who doesn't. That would be Banker/Farmer Tom Campbell, who dropped at least 500,000 US dollars of his own money in order to be in the hope of losing weight Heitkamp, ​​north -dakotan through television advertising. After a short and uninterrupted career to be irrelevant in North Dakota's legislature, Campbell found that the next logical step was to look for a job in Washington.

Campbell's candidacy went so well with the Republican Power Center in the west of North Dakota that the MP from Twitter Orator's Rosco Streyle gave that, which was a reserved confirmation for him. Legislators. “

The Republicans began to get a little nervous, Campbell would be their only way to challenge Heitkamp, ​​especially if some candidates were set especially for the decision against the race. But now Cramer looks much more likely than a few months ago. He said to Gray TV: “I'm definitely so tended.”

There were other signs. Cramer's Twitter account responded to a tweet that I wrote a few days ago and in which he questioned what his private survey numbers against Heitkamp are.

“It would break your heart to see our surveys @Mikemcfeeleywday,” said Cramers Tweet.

When I asked on Twitter to see the surveys, Cramer's account did not answer.

One thing is certain: Cramer would not be so lively if he would challenge Heitkamp if he was not asked well against her. He is a career politician and one without much personal wealth, so that he would waste a safe seat in the US house without a great confidence in the profit.

There is only one way to know and neither Cramer nor Heitkamp will release your internal surveys.

Cramer's visit to the White House was probably not a disposable discussion. He would need a certainty from Trump that the president would get to North Dakota as often as possible to fight in Cramer's name. While Trump may be a millstone in many parts of the country, he is popular in North Dakota. The Republicans drage over Heitkamp's voice against the recently adopted tax laws and believe that this is the nail in their political coffin.

Heitkamp remains undeterred by her tax vote and tells me a few weeks ago “So be it” if the vote against the GOP calculation costs its re -election. But their cavalizing attitude would have to be mitigated if Cramer entered the race. Campbell is a light weight that nobody knows. Like Heitkamp, ​​Cramer has almost 100 percent name recognition and will have the full weight of the Republican Senatorial Committee of the Republican Committee. The RNSC was not equipped with Campbell.

When Cramer runs, Heitkamps is already more difficult to win over to victory than when she faces Campbell. Not impossible, but incredibly stressful.

Campbell would push him aside a cramer run to change his candidacy from the Senate to the house. That would probably attract a number of challengers who see Campbell as a beat at a convention or in a primary school. Imagine you spend half a million dollars and are pushed aside.

Cramer says he will announce a decision by the end of this month or early February. My prediction: he will run. There are too many signs to think about something else.