Trump believes that he forms the Middle East. Instead, there are golf states that dictate the US foreign policy | Simon Tisdall

DOnald Trump is used to finding his own way. That could change next week if he is confronted with the chaos he makes in the Middle East. When he begins a three-day trip to Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and the Qatar, the US President promises great things. As always, he is delusional. The reality is that ruthless, incoherent and neglected US regional politics fails the US regional policy across the board. A basic course correction is urgently required.

Golf leader have the leverage to make Trump clear when they decide to use it. He leaves in an unprecedented degree – much more than in Europe – as a diplomatic conversation partner, security partner and financial supporters. His approach to Palestine, which is about a second Nakba (catastrophe), is a mixture of prejudice, cruelty and mere ignorance. Without Arabic help, the USA and Israel may remain unlimited in a destructive political dead end.

Trump knows that he cannot afford to ignore the views of the Saudi crown prince Mohammed bin Salman and his golf colleagues to Gaza, Syria and Yemen. They reject the war with Iran as they were previously threatened by the USA and Israel. Trump needs her as an ally in his trade and tapping with China. Golf diplomats were hosting the peace talks in Ukraine Russia, which he personally promoted. He wants to keep oil prices low. And he desires millions of investment offers and weapon sales in the Middle East.

However, there is a price for golf support. Take Trump's hope of expanding the so-called Abraham Agreement by normalizing Saudi Israeli relationships. Whatever Trump says, Salman promises that this cannot happen without guaranteed progress towards an independent Palestinian state – a prospect of Israel's government. Salman described the murder of more than 52,000 Palestinians in Gaza as a “genocide”. In Riad, Trump will be exposed to intensive pressure to end the blockade of Israel and put the ceasefire again.

Relations between the United States and Israel are increasingly tense, and Trump concludes the invitations to add Jerusalem to his trip. The effects on the surviving Israeli hostages of Hamas, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's Prime Minister, and his right -wing extremists allies a long -term military occupation of Gaza Strip and mass penalty of Palestinians. But while Trump was supported two months ago and spoke foolish about building a “Riviera of the Middle East”, he seems to be late that peace is not so lies.

Netanyahu, who continues to ask the United States to join Israel with military action against Iran this year, was surprised by Trump's sudden announcement in the past month of talks with Tehran about his nuclear program. A similarly abrupt turn of Trump last week, which ends the US air attacks in Yemen, also blindly Israel, which continues to bomb Houthi fighter. Both political shifts and trumps are changing tone on Gaza follow effective golf lobbying.

The Arab leaders supported by Turkey also want Trump to curb Israel's military operations in Lebanon and especially in Syria, which has repeatedly attacked it since Bashar al-Assad's dictatorship in December in December. All six members of the golf cooperation council prefer the commitment with the Syrian interim president Ahmed al-Sharaa and his coalition government.

Sharaa says he doesn't want a fight with Israel and focuses on the reunification of his broken country. His groundbreaking visits to Saudi Arabia, the VAE and Qatar produced generous offers for reconstruction aid. In contrast to Great Britain and the EU, Trump refused to relax sanctions from the Assad era. It is a big mistake that disabled people could leave the Syrians' hopes for a new beginning and Iran and Russia in the democratic, pro-Western Syria is a major prize. At the moment it begins to look like a missed opportunity.

If Trump wants to be sure that Golf is supported for his wider agenda, he has to return something important. This could be a resuscitation of the 2015 US Europe-Nuclear package with Iran (which he appeared in 2018 in 2018)-while Netanyahu and Tehran Hardliner ensure that Netanyahu and Tehran Hardliner will not start any further war. Trump can take the jump very well. He claims that he is the “Peace President”. This is an opportunity to prove it.

An enlightened US approach in Gaza and Syria could also serve other Trump destinations: lower energy prices and increased golf investments in US companies and advertising. Saudi settings are crucial for both. Relatives price cuts on the disposal pump could calm disappointed Trump voters and tame US inflation. In January Salman excluded a four-year-old US investment deal of USD 600 billion (450 billion GBP). More can follow.

Could this big, thick carrot be the main reason why Trump chose Saudi Arabia for his first visit to the interior of Saudi Arabia as he did in 2017? A motivated US-Saudi security pact is an additional bait with an initial weapon package of $ 100 billion for Riyadh. And there will also be many openings for companies of the Trump family companies if a guide recently from Qatar Luxury Golf Resort Deal is a guide. Trump's desire to make a quick money is not reduced by possible conflicts of interest.

Discovered by these weighted considerations is the dismaying extent, in which Trump legitimizes and promotes the anti -democratic, authoritarian golf regime for institutionalized misogyny and human rights violations. His Saudi visit completes the undeserved rehabilitation of Salman after the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi in 2018.

The growing power and the influence of the Gulf States are an inevitable fact of the geopolitical and economic life of the 21st century. But if you discuss important questions of peace and the security of the Middle East, like exceptional that a bunch of legitimate, non -chosen autocrats shows a US president how to do the right thing. If Trump were a braver, more honest man, he would go to Gaza next week and convince himself, the devastation that he and his right -wing extremist allies have done.

He won't do this. It is well known that Trump is not a gentleman. It is clear that he is not a statesman.