Experts now predict that Jalen Brunson (almost) achieves (almost) 40% more than Pacers' top scorer in game 1

When the final of the Eastern Conference taps in the Madison Square Garden on Wednesday evening, updated stat for forecasts show a striking goal gap between Jalen Brunson in New York and the leading threat of Indiana for game 1.

Game details

Teams: Indiana Pacers against New York Knicks
What: NBA Eastern Conference Finale, game 1
Date: Wednesday, May 21, 2025
Time: 8 p.m. et
Location: Madison Square Garden
NBA News: Check the latest updates from the official NBA message page

Complete statistics projections for game 1 – Knicks against Pacers

player	team	PTS	Vineyard	Branch	3 p.m	Blk	STL	TO
Jalen Brunson	NYK	29.3	3.2	8.1	2.4	0.2	0.7	2.8
Karl-Anthony cities	NYK	22.3	11.5	2.2	1.8	0.6	0.8	2.6
Pascal Siakam	Ind	21.3	6.6	3.6	1.6	0.6	1.0	1.6
Tyresian Haliburton	Ind	20.3	4.3	8.8	3.0	0.9	1.2	1.9
Mikal Bridges	NYK	17.7	4.2	3.6	1.9	1.0	1.1	2.1
OG anunoby	NYK	17.6	5.1	2.1	2.5	1.0	1.3	1.6
Myles gymnast	Ind	14.7	6.2	1.5	2.0	2.4	0.7	1.3
Aaron Nesmith	Ind	13.7	5.4	1.4	2.2	0.6	0.8	1.1
Josh hard	NYK	12.8	9.3	5.8	1.2	0.4	1.4	1.9
Andrew Nembhard	Ind	12.4	3.5	5.1	1.4	0.3	1.2	1.9
Obi Toppin	Ind	10.1	3.0	1.5	1.6	0.2	0.4	0.9
Bennedict Mathurin	Ind	9.1	3.0	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.4	1.2
TJ McConnell	Ind	7.8	2.2	3.4	0.2	0.3	0.6	1.1
Miles McBride	NYK	7.1	1.6	1.9	1.3	0.2	0.6	0.4
Mitchell Robinson	NYK	5.6	6.8	0.6	0.0	0.8	0.9	0.9
Thomas Bryant	Ind	3.3	2.1	0.5	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.4
Ben Sheppard	Ind	2.9	1.9	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.3
Cameron Payne	NYK	2.2	0.4	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.3

Based on new simulation results of dimers, Brunson is expected to lead the kinks with productive 29.3 points and outperform the top scorer of the Pacers, Pascal Siakam, by almost 40% (37.6%) in order to be precise.

Indiana's Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton, which perform a large part of their offensive – are supposed to set up 21.3 or 20.3 points, which creates an important differential that could influence the series opening competition.

New York's offensive engine

Brunson's level of evouction of the score underlines its important role in New York's methodological semi-court criminal offense. Brunson on average over 8 assists per game is not only a main corer, but also the head player of the team, who orchestrates the offensive and sets up teammates like Karl-Anthony Towns and Mikal Bridges.

The cities are expected to add 22.3 points and 11.5 rebounds, which offers a strong interior in addition to Bridges' balanced value and defense.

However, the starting line -up of the Knicks sometimes has problems fitting in the playoffs. This forced New York for several comebacks in the late game when they try to overcome deficits-a pattern that could become a critical factor if the depth and pace of the pacers overwhelm them.

Indiana's balanced attack

The offensive strength of Indiana lies at its depth and speed. The Pacers have the highest highest -volume line -up in the playoffs, which are anchored by the 20.3 points of Haliburton and 8.8 assists per game and supplemented 21.3 points and 6.6 rebounds by Siakams.

Myles Turner and Aaron Nesmith add solid contributions, especially for defense and beyond the arch.

The Pacers are known for their ability to drive the pace and rely on their sportiness to ward off the opponents through a series. In contrast to New York's more deliberate offensive, this style stands and puts on a classic scenario “Stile Make Series”.

To see matchups

Defensively, New York will perform Mikal Bridges with Haliburton while OG will protect Anunoby Siakam. Inside, the struggle between Karl Anthony cities and Myles Turner will be decisive. An important question will be how well Indianas Andrew Nembhard from Indiana Brunson can contain – a Matchup that proved to be challenging in the last after -season and was able to determine which team receives the upper hand.

Game 1 Pacers against Knick's NBA forecasts for Wednesday evening

By using machine learning and analysis, the Pacers-Knicks game simulated 10,000 times in the early Wednesday morning. Here are the updated predictions and knowledge:

Received maintenance: Pacers 34%, Knicks 66%
Predicted end result: Pacers 109-113 Knicks

Series view

The series fits New York's half-place, methodological criminal offense on Brunson's goal and game against the deeper, faster attack by Indiana. The Pacers dominated with a highly volume line-up with Haliburton, Nembhard, Nesmith, Siakam and Turner and have a plus-22.1 net value in the playoffs.

New York start five, although it is talented, has to deal with cohesion and is reflected in a minus 4.7-net value during the playoffs. This inconsistency has led to comebacks in late game and not to comfortable leads.

Defensive matchups will be critical: Bridges vs. Haliburton, Anunoby against Siakam, Towns vs. Turner and especially Nembhard's ability to curb Brunson, which could prove to be crucial for Indiana.

Current chances of winning

Use the interactive widget below to see the current spread, over/under and moneyline chances and probabilities for the Pacers-Knicks-Matchup in the Madison Square Garden.

Probability at the time of publication for the key markets in the Pacers-Knicks game 1 Matchup:

Spread: Pacers +4.5 (-110), Knicks -4.5 (-106)
Money line: Pacers +162, Knicks -180
In total: About/below 223 (-110/-110)

NBA fans nationwide can unlock bonus bets for game 1 with the BetMGM bonus code “Silive150”, while local Knicks fans in New Jersey can use the BetMGM bonus code of 150 US dollars “Cuse150”, and the inhabitants of Indiana can use the bonus code of 150 US dollar “Syracuse”, as in our collisse Syracuse.com reports.

Please note that it is important for online betting to exercise responsible gambling practices and to consult reliable sources for precise and current information.